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Exploring the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Future of Work
In the 21st century, AI plays a significant role in many applications. AI has already surpassed human beings in the ability to calculate faster and better in search and data mining. The self-driving car is already smoothing its wheels around us on the road. The use of touch screen devices is so natural, that we barely take notice of such a complex task that AI tries to tackle. The automated detection of credit card fraud occurs routinely whenever we shop online, and social networks such as Facebook or WhatsApp can differentiate personally whether an uploaded photo is of a friend, using facial recognition techniques. Although the performance of these specialized systems may seem routine today, it was not long ago that the above technologies were far from ready for a field application, and a matter of progress gave rise to what we recognize today as AI. The upcoming few decades will show major advances in the applications of AI. Although the exact nature or timing of these advances is difficult to predict, their existence is likely to impact the structure and landscape of many global industries.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is not a recent concept. It has been a recurring theme in the advances of various branches of computer science (CS) and unusual or natural language processing, a field in artificial intelligence, specifically computers, to understand, interpret and to bring into context the knowledge of language. It has been incorporated in everyday life, such as computer-based language translation, interactive voice response. AI has also seen many applications on a large scale including software simulations for purposes and training and process optimization in industries. Its ability to perform tasks that require humanlike capabilities, such as understanding natural language or ability to learn from experience, and others, however, is continually in development stage in becoming capable of autonomously executing job functions.
The pace of automation substitution for human labor has slowed as we have ceded some functions back to humans who can perform them more effectively in certain niches. The scope has broadened, and AI is being utilized for more creative and spontaneous tasks. However, as the relationship between humans and machines, both individually and as part of an interconnected, hyper-complex system that marketers call the Internet of Things, has evolved, so has the relationship between humans and the work they perform. The rate and type of work change is not necessarily occurring synchronously. Annual economic growth rates show an increasing gap between job specialization and the generic skills that both support and underpin it. The result is an ongoing skills shortage that is increasingly pervasive, acting as a drag on system efficiency while also creating a damper on opportunity for individuals and enterprises alike. The urgency of this skills shortage heightens the need for institutions that are in the position of shaping future employment to play an active role in skill formation.
In the age of artificial intelligence, work as we know it is bound to change. This transformation is not just about job loss, but about the opportunity for both individuals and businesses to make new work choices, be agile in their response, and adapt to change within a continually evolving job landscape. Jobs will be disrupted, redefined, and augmented in often dramatic ways, in unexpected places, and not always along traditional notions of career pathways. Individuals, institutions, and businesses are now faced with the challenge of redefining how they think about work, by reevaluating the benefits and value of diverse human abilities, understanding the impact of AI on skill requirements, and creating educational pathways that align training and learning with 21st-century work needs. The future emerges as a shared responsibility across a robust ecosystem of discovery, innovation, and investment.
Successful and seamless deployment of AI/automation requires careful stakeholder engagement and policymaking to ensure that the benefits don’t flow entirely to business owners, shareholders, and consumers and undermine job access and job quality for the many workers who contribute to the economy’s productive capacity. AI-driven automation might raise growth and contribute to rising living standards, generating additional productivity-related compensation that can help workers share in some share of the additional economic pie. But concepts like the ‘winner take most’ phenomenon suggest that significant numbers of workers may not be well-positioned to share – at least on the terms now expected – in the broader economic benefits that can follow. To both expand the availability of jobs and ensure that those jobs offer sufficient monetary reward and opportunities for career growth, it is essential to prevent policy choices from leaving workers in the lurch.
For workers, the next generation of automation-related challenges will arrive during a period in which wage stagnation, volatile work schedules, and erosion of worker bargaining power are pushing work standards downward. Technology can just as easily exacerbate these conflicts as ameliorate them. Yet the declining share of economic output going to the workers who contribute to that output also suggests that further waves of automation – like those that preceded them – may do little to raise living standards for the broader workforce. That prospect suggests the importance of targeted policy to ensure that the gains from AI and automation are broadly shared. No one-size-fits-all answer will guide policy design in these sectors, but nearly all workers fear the same thing: that technology change will suddenly and dramatically affect demand for their labor, leaving them without good options.
Given the broad range of challenges and the uniqueness of capabilities, a series of proposals and principles are stirring interest on companies working with, and in the development of, AI systems. In order to deal with the role of AI platforms in the management of individuals and the creation of services and jobs, and to ensure high responsibility, but also clearly defined, ethical standards for innovation, companies are called to embrace a workforce that is willing to codify these values, for instance creating, standardizing or enforcing AI path guidelines, raising awareness and commitment to monitor AI applications and recognize potential threats inside the company. Transparent colorism in AI processes is closely linked to the need to provide explanations on the results obtained from machine learning, but it also represents the obligation of companies to use AI in a transparent manner. A transparent approach to AI in the workplace would focus on the management and transparency of AI work within companies, tariffs, recognition and minimization of bias, ethical and responsible use of data, review and regulatory processes and competitive transparency on expected results.
The widespread adoption of AI in the workplace demands a thorough analysis of the ethical guidance that companies should uphold. There has been a broadening discussion on the governance of AI tools and the incorporation of ethical valuations in AI systems. Ethical discussion about AI in the workplace includes the legitimacy of the results obtained from AI tools and how they can be explained to workers, the potential loss of order and control mechanisms and its impact on management, the use of AI to shape employee behavior, the long-term implications for employment relationships, and the ability of endowed AI systems to commit bias and cause discrimination. The formulation of ethical guidelines that underscore public good values, such as fairness, transparency, the protection of individual rights, and the safeguarding of human interest, is a necessary form of governance. Supporting organizational processes and tools that are remotely controlled and, in some cases, freed from human judgment demands a responsible degree of instilling ethical guidelines and behaviors in AI systems.
We also note critical thresholds in technology capabilities and discern five societal and individual capability limits beyond which beneficial technological impact diminishes or turns negative, demanding checks and balances. AI technologies pose far more systemic challenges than workplace displacements as observed with earlier waves of technological change. We indicate broader societal and individual concerns regarding economic distributions, disparities in earnings, limiting capabilities in societal institutions, quality of life and personal development, and risks of institutional decay. Our arguments and future research considerations extend to capabilities-based future studies of other emerging technologies. Such supervisory augmentation considerations also provide an interesting context to study the tensions and complementarities of formal and informal organizational structures in the workplace.
We offer insights into the future of work, extended to also consider broader employment dynamics, by considering both positive and negative impacts of AI technologies on individuals, organizations, and society. We leverage scoping techniques across academic and practitioner literatures to provide a timely and accessible holistic review. Our qualitative insights are structured around a typology and are articulated more formally in a model that provides five dimensions: adaptation, employment quantity and quality, productivity, inclusion, and economic distributions. We position our perspectives drawing on a range of theoretical underpinnings such as market capitalism, industrial relations and policy, and highlight future directions for research in the HR and OB domain, and broader social sciences. While we offer primarily conceptual insights, we also underscore areas for valuable empirical investigation and data gathering.
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